Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-3
Svitolina E.
Sabalenka A.
662
Svitolina E.
230

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-1 7-6
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
2020-09-21StrasbourgSFclayElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2018-09-24WuhanR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
83
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
59

Sabalenka A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw