Tomas Machac vs Tommy PaulAdelaide Semi-final

Adelaide · ATP · Semi-final
#62ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Machac T.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Paul T.
Machac T.
2662
Paul T.
6331

Tomas Machac defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Adelaide semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, defending last year's semi-final. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayTommy Paul6-3 6-7 6-4
2024-09-25TokyoR16hardTomas Machac2-6 6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
90
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
51

Machac T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw