Tomas Machac vs Tommy PaulTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#62ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
Machac T.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Paul T.
Machac T.
2672
Paul T.
6361

Tomas Machac defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, defending last year's quarter-final. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideSFhardTomas Machac2-6 6-3 6-3
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayTommy Paul6-3 6-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (125 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
90
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
51

Machac T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw