Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo Musetti — Hong Kong Final
Hong Kong · ATP · Final
KAZ2#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026 ·
hard
ITA1#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
Bublik A.7-6 6-3
Musetti L.
Bublik A.
762
Musetti L.
630
Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6 6-3 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Bublik closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | QF | grass | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 6-1 1-0 |
| 2024-01-08 | Adelaide | QF | hard | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-7 7-5 |
| 2022-06-13 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 0-0 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
81
89
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Dominant
54
81
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
91
93
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
87
Musetti L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast