Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo MusettiAdelaide Quarter-final

Adelaide · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024 ·
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
Bublik A.
6-3 6-7 7-5
Musetti L.
Bublik A.
6672
Musetti L.
3751

Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-7 7-5 in the Adelaide quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05Hong KongFhardAlexander Bublik7-6 6-3
2024-06-10StuttgartQFgrassLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-1 1-0
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassAlexander Bublik6-3 0-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
89
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Dominant
54
81
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
90
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Musetti L.: played today · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw