Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula — WTA Finals Semi-final
WTA Finals · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 November 2025 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Rybakina E.4-6 6-4 6-3
Pegula J.
Rybakina E.
4662
Pegula J.
6431
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the WTA Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round-robin. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–3.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina dropped the opening set before beating Jessica Pegula 4–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
6–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | Miami | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-09-19 | BJK Cup Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Guadalajara 2 | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-3 7-6 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
86
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
91
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
55
64
Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast