Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina — Guadalajara 2 Round of 32
Guadalajara 2 · WTA · Round of 32
USA3#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Pegula J.2-6 6-3 7-6
Rybakina E.
Pegula J.
2672
Rybakina E.
6361
Jessica Pegula defeated Elena Rybakina 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Guadalajara 2 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Jessica Pegula narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula dropped the opening set before beating Elena Rybakina 2–6 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
2–7| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | Miami | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 7-6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-11-07 | WTA Finals | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-09-19 | BJK Cup Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
93
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
96
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
91
92
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
64
55
Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast