Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez — Tokyo Round of 16
Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
KAZ2#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025 ·
hard
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
Rybakina E.6-4 6-3
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.
662
Fernandez L.
430
Elena Rybakina defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-4 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
2–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Stuttgart | QF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-7 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | SF | hard | Leylah Fernandez | 6-7 7-6 7-6 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Leylah Fernandez | 3-6 7-6 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Doha | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
98
80
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
77
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
68
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
56
81
Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast