Leylah Fernandez vs Elena RybakinaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Fernandez L.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Fernandez L.
3762
Rybakina E.
6641

Leylah Fernandez defeated Elena Rybakina 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Leylah Fernandez narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartQFclayElena Rybakina6-7 6-4 7-6
2025-10-20TokyoR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2025-07-21WashingtonSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-7 7-6 7-6
2024-02-12DohaQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (145 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
96
Break points won·Slight edge
90
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
84
55

Fernandez L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw