Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Bublik A.
7-6 6-7 6-3 6-7 6-1
Paul T.
Bublik A.
766663
Paul T.
673712

Alexander Bublik defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-7 6-3 6-7 6-1 in the US Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 16. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–7 6–3 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardTommy Paul5-7 7-5 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassTommy Paul6-3 6-4 6-2
2021-03-01RotterdamR16hardTommy Paul6-7 6-3 6-1
2020-09-21HamburgQ2clayTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ2grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.4
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
90
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
54
88
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
90
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
51

Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw