

Alexander Bublik defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 7-6 in the Queen's Club qualifying round 2 on grass. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #13. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | R32 | hard | Alexander Bublik | 7-6 6-7 6-3 6-7 6-1 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | R64 | hard | Tommy Paul | 5-7 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-03-01 | Rotterdam | R16 | hard | Tommy Paul | 6-7 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Q2 | clay | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About