Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Winston-Salem Round of 32
Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
ARG10#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 17 August 2025 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Baez S.7-5 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Baez S.
762
Carreno Busta P.
520
Sebastian Baez defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 6-2 in the Winston-Salem round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.
Key context
- Match story: Sebastian Baez closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | R32 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
73
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Clear edge
77
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
14
Tiebreaks·Dominant
53
87
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
78
85
Baez S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast