Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian Baez — Basel Round of 32
Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 October 2022 ·
hard
#53ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Carreno Busta P.6-2 6-1
Baez S.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Baez S.
210
Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-1 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #53. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–1.
Key context
- Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta dropped just 3 games past Sebastian Baez.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | R32 | hard | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
46
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
86
Break points won·Clear edge
60
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
64
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
81
73
Carreno Busta P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Baez S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast