Elena Rybakina vs Elise MertensCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#22WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Rybakina E.
4-6 6-3 7-5
Mertens E.
Rybakina E.
4672
Mertens E.
6351

Elena Rybakina defeated Elise Mertens 4-6 6-3 7-5 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassElise Mertens7-6 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-4 6-2
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-0
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-3
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-2
2021-04-29MadridR32clayElise Mertens7-6 7-5
2020-01-06ShenzhenQFhardElena Rybakina6-4 4-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
69
Break points saved·Dominant
96
65
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
85

Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw