Jelena Ostapenko vs Aryna Sabalenka — Stuttgart Final
Stuttgart · WTA · Final
#30WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025 ·
clay
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Ostapenko J.6-4 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
662
Sabalenka A.
410
Jelena Ostapenko defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-1 in the Stuttgart final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jelena Ostapenko claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
Key context
- Match story: Jelena Ostapenko dropped just 5 games past Aryna Sabalenka.
Head to head
0–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-20 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 2-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2019-09-09 | Zhengzhou | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
64%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
68
100
Break points saved·Dominant
25
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
94
66
Ostapenko J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast