Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno BustaGirona CH Quarter-final

Girona CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#80ATP
1800ELO
1701Clay ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025 ·
clay
#72ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Cilic M.
6-2 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Cilic M.
662
Carreno Busta P.
240

Marin Cilic defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-2 6-4 in the Girona CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #72. Marin Cilic extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-11-23Davis Cup Finals QF: CRO vs ESPRRhardMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 7-6
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardPablo Carreno Busta5-7 6-4 6-4
2018-08-13Cincinnati MastersQFhardMarin Cilic7-6 6-4
2018-05-14Rome MastersQFclayMarin Cilic6-3 6-3
2018-01-15Australian OpenR16hardMarin Cilic6-7 6-3 7-6 7-6
2016-10-24BaselR16hardMarin Cilic6-0 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Dominant
32
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
14
Tiebreaks·Even
89
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
88

Cilic M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw