Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marin Cilic — Tokyo Olympics Round of 32
Tokyo Olympics · ATP · Round of 32
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021 ·
hard
CRO#80ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Carreno Busta P.5-7 6-4 6-4
Cilic M.
Carreno Busta P.
5662
Cilic M.
7441
Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Marin Cilic 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in leading the head-to-head 5–0. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.
Key context
- Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta dropped the opening set before beating Marin Cilic 5–7 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
0–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals QF: CRO vs ESP | RR | hard | Marin Cilic | 5-7 6-3 7-6 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati Masters | QF | hard | Marin Cilic | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2018-05-14 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Marin Cilic | 6-7 6-3 7-6 7-6 |
| 2016-10-24 | Basel | R16 | hard | Marin Cilic | 6-0 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
10.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
46
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Dominant
60
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
88
Tiebreaks·Even
87
89
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
88
92
Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About