Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka — Indian Wells Final
Indian Wells · WTA · Final
RUS9#6WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Andreeva M.2-6 6-4 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Andreeva M.
2662
Sabalenka A.
6431
Mirra Andreeva defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 16. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
Key context
- Match story: Mirra Andreeva dropped the opening set before beating Aryna Sabalenka 2–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
1–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Mirra Andreeva | 6-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
94
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
79
66
Andreeva M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast