Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna SabalenkaRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Quarter-final
#6WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024 ·
clay
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Andreeva M.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Andreeva M.
6662
Sabalenka A.
7441

Mirra Andreeva defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsFhardMirra Andreeva2-6 6-4 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2024-12-30BrisbaneSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2024-04-22MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2023-04-24MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
66

Andreeva M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw