Mirra Andreeva vs Elena Rybakina — Indian Wells Round of 16
Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
RUS9#6WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
KAZ7#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Andreeva M.6-1 6-2
Rybakina E.
Andreeva M.
662
Rybakina E.
120
Mirra Andreeva defeated Elena Rybakina 6-1 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
Key context
- Match story: Mirra Andreeva dropped just 3 games past Elena Rybakina.
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-02-17 | Dubai | SF | hard | Mirra Andreeva | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-4 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
92
99
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
80
69
Andreeva M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast