Mirra Andreeva vs Elena RybakinaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#6WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Andreeva M.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Rybakina E.
Andreeva M.
6462
Rybakina E.
4631

Mirra Andreeva defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Mirra Andreeva closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardMirra Andreeva6-1 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardElena Rybakina2-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
55

Andreeva M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw