

Mirra Andreeva defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Mirra Andreeva narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | R16 | hard | Mirra Andreeva | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 6-4 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Andreeva M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About