Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aryna SabalenkaDoha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 February 2025 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Alexandrova E.
3-6 6-3 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Alexandrova E.
3672
Sabalenka A.
6361

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 3-6 6-3 7-6 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-08TorontoR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-7(3) 6-4 4-6
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-1 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2022-06-06s HertogenboschFgrassEkaterina Alexandrova7-5 6-0
2021-10-18MoscowQFhardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-4
2019-01-28St. PetersburgQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2018-12-31ShenzhenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
93
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
68
65

Alexandrova E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw