Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aryna SabalenkaMoscow Quarter-final

Moscow · WTA · Quarter-final
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Alexandrova E.
6-3 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Alexandrova E.
662
Sabalenka A.
340

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 6-4 in the Moscow quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-08TorontoR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-7(3) 6-4 4-6
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
2025-02-09DohaR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova3-6 6-3 7-6
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-1 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2022-06-06s HertogenboschFgrassEkaterina Alexandrova7-5 6-0
2019-01-28St. PetersburgQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2018-12-31ShenzhenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
93
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
61
59

Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw