Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula BadosaAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025 ·
hard
#84WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-2
Badosa P.
Sabalenka A.
662
Badosa P.
420

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Paula Badosa 6-4 6-2 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2024-04-15StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-6 4-6 3-3
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6 6-4
2021-11-11GuadalajaraRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardPaula Badosa5-7 6-2 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
84
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw