Paula Badosa vs Aryna SabalenkaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#84WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Badosa P.
5-7 6-2 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Badosa P.
5672
Sabalenka A.
7261

Paula Badosa defeated Aryna Sabalenka 5-7 6-2 7-6 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's round of 16. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

26
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2024-04-15StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-6 4-6 3-3
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6 6-4
2021-11-11GuadalajaraRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
93
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw