Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina — United Cup Semi-final
United Cup · WTA · Semi-final
POL#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 4 January 2025 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Swiatek I.7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Swiatek I.
7762
Rybakina E.
6540
Iga Swiatek defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 6-4 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's semi-final, but Iga Swiatek had been the form player, winning 8 of their last 8 on hard. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 8–7.
Key context
- Match story: Iga Swiatek edged Elena Rybakina in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head to head
7–7| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-11-03 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 6-1 6-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 6-1 6-0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 1-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2024-12-27 | United Cup | SF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2024-04-15 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-02-12 | Doha | F | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | QF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 2-6 7-6 2-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-09-20 | Ostrava | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 7-6 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 119). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
96
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
91
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
57
51
Swiatek I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast