Daria Kasatkina vs Marta KostyukBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024 ·
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Kasatkina D.
6-3 6-4
Kostyuk M.
Kasatkina D.
662
Kostyuk M.
340

Daria Kasatkina defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR32hardMarta Kostyuk3-6 6-3 7-6
2025-05-06RomeR64clayMarta Kostyuk6-4 6-2
2024-06-17BerlinR32grassDaria Kasatkina4-6 7-6 6-3
2023-09-25TokyoR32hardDaria Kasatkina3-6 6-4 6-3
2021-06-14BirminghamR16grassDaria Kasatkina6-2 7-5
2021-04-19IstanbulR16clayMarta Kostyuk6-3 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
86
Break points saved·Dominant
21
72
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
70

Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw