Daria Kasatkina vs Marta Kostyuk — Tokyo Round of 32
Tokyo · WTA · Round of 32
AUS6#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 September 2023 ·
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Kasatkina D.3-6 6-4 6-3
Kostyuk M.
Kasatkina D.
3662
Kostyuk M.
6431
Daria Kasatkina defeated Marta Kostyuk 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.
Key context
- Match story: Daria Kasatkina dropped the opening set before beating Marta Kostyuk 3–6 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
3–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Montreal | R32 | hard | Marta Kostyuk | 3-6 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-05-06 | Rome | R64 | clay | Marta Kostyuk | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-06-17 | Berlin | R32 | grass | Daria Kasatkina | 4-6 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-06-14 | Birmingham | R16 | grass | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2021-04-19 | Istanbul | R16 | clay | Marta Kostyuk | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2020-08-31 | US Open | R128 | hard | Marta Kostyuk | 6-1 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
5.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
53
86
Break points saved·Dominant
21
72
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
80
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
95
70
Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast