Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria SakkariIndian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023 ·
hard
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-3
Sakkari M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Sakkari M.
230

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–5, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

65
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2023-04-24MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2022-11-02WTA FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-11-15GuadalajaraRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(1) 6-7(6) 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6 6-7 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2020-02-24DohaR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-0
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-1
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2019-08-12CincinnatiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-7 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 189). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
78
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
71

Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw