Maria Sakkari vs Aryna SabalenkaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2019 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Sakkari M.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Sakkari M.
6662
Sabalenka A.
7441

Maria Sakkari defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–4, defending last year's semi-final. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

47
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2023-04-24MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2022-11-02WTA FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-11-15GuadalajaraRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(1) 6-7(6) 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6 6-7 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2020-02-24DohaR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-0
2020-02-17DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-1
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
93
Break points won·Slight edge
91
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
59

Sakkari M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw