Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina — Australian Open Final
Australian Open · WTA · Final
BLR5#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023 ·
hard
KAZ22#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Sabalenka A.4-6 6-3 6-4
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
4662
Rybakina E.
6341
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–9, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–9.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped the opening set before beating Elena Rybakina 4–6 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
10–9| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2025-11-08 | WTA Finals | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6(0) |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Berlin | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6 3-6 7-6 |
| 2024-11-06 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 1-6 7-5 7-6 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2023-11-03 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-01-06 | Abu Dhabi | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2019-09-23 | Wuhan | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 1-6 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
66
56
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast