Pablo Carreno Busta vs Matteo BerrettiniCanada Masters Round of 64

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022 ·
hard
#42ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-2
Berrettini M.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Berrettini M.
320

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2 in the Canada Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #42, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Matteo Berrettini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-23Davis Cup Finals F: ITA vs ESPRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardMatteo Berrettini7-5 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
10.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Clear edge
60
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
79

Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw