Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno BustaAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
#42ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Berrettini M.
7-5 7-6 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Berrettini M.
7763
Carreno Busta P.
5640

Matteo Berrettini defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 7-6 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #42, defending last year's round of 16. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-23Davis Cup Finals F: ITA vs ESPRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
75
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
93
Break points won·Clear edge
42
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Berrettini M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw