Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna SabalenkaSan Jose Quarter-final

San Jose · WTA · Quarter-final
#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Kasatkina D.
4-6 7-5 6-0
Sabalenka A.
Kasatkina D.
4762
Sabalenka A.
6501

Daria Kasatkina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 4-6 7-5 6-0 in the San Jose quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–1. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

18
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-30Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka6-0 7-5
2024-06-17BerlinR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2024-01-01BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-3
2023-08-17CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2021-04-29MadridR32clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayAryna Sabalenka7-6 6-0
2019-09-30BeijingR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
100
Break points saved·Dominant
21
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
66

Kasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw