Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina: Head-to-Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka

Belarus

8–2
10 meetings
Daria Kasatkina

Australia

Hard: 4–2Clay: 3–0Grass: 1–0
Weighted by importance & recency
8.5–1.5
The same matches re-weighted by what was at stake and how recently — a Grand Slam final this year counts for more than an early round a decade ago.
Aryna Sabalenka
8–2
Daria Kasatkina

Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina have met 10 times on the professional tour. Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 8–2. Their most recent meeting came at Roland Garros in 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

Sabalenka A. and Kasatkina D. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sabalenka A. went 18–4 (82%) against them, Kasatkina D. 5–10 (33%). Sabalenka A. came out clearly better against 8 of 12 comparable opponents, Kasatkina D. against 0.

18–4 · 82%Sabalenka A. · better vs 8
Record vs common opponents
5–10 · 33%Kasatkina D. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
36–11Sets16–23
268–191Games173–201
5–4Tiebreaks3–3
2–1Deciding sets3–6
Sabalenka A. better · same surface▾
Sabalenka A. better · same surface, 2 days apart▾
Sabalenka A. better · same surface, 15 days apart▾
Sabalenka A. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Both won · same surface, 14 days apart▾
Sabalenka A. better · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Sabalenka A. better · same surface, 30 days apart▾
Both won · same surface, 28 days apart▾
Sabalenka A. better · same surface, 9 days apart▾
Sabalenka A. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Both won · same surface, 14 days apart▾
Both won · same surface▾
Hard to compare — different surface & timing
Both won · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 7 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina stats comparison

Ratings

#1 WTARanking#68 WTA
2220Elo (overall)1795
2201Hard Elo1757
2103Clay Elo1770
1987Grass Elo1666

Form

WWWLWWWLWWLast 10LLWWLWWWLW
2026 win rate·Dominant
86%
56%
32026 titles1

Clutch

Under pressure
Aryna SabalenkaDaria Kasatkina
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
53
Break points saved·Dominant
93
21
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Aryna SabalenkaDaria Kasatkina
Freshness·Clear edge
66
87

Aryna Sabalenka: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Daria Kasatkina: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Serve vs return

Recent form
Aryna Sabalenkaserving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkinaserving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Aryna Sabalenka

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Set records · last ~30 matches

First sets won·Dominant
83%
47%
Deciding sets won·Dominant
29%
71%
Tiebreaks won·
—
50%

Career

Career win rate·Clear edge
73%
60%
25Career titles8
4Grand Slam titles0

Profile

28Age29
182 cmHeight170 cm
RightPlaysRight

Set records use each player's last ~30 completed matches; form shows the last 10 results. Ratings come from the same data that powers the Umpiry Score.

All 10 meetings

Frequently asked questions

Who leads the head-to-head between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina?

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head against Daria Kasatkina 8–2 after 10 meetings.

How many times have Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina played each other?

Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina have played each other 10 times on the professional tour.

When did Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina last play each other?

Their most recent meeting came at Roland Garros in 2026, where Aryna Sabalenka won.