Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys — Melbourne 2 Round of 16
Melbourne 2 · WTA · Round of 16
AUS3#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022 ·
hard
USA#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Kasatkina D.7-6 2-6 6-3
Keys M.
Kasatkina D.
7262
Keys M.
6631
Daria Kasatkina defeated Madison Keys 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Melbourne 2 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 11–1. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 11–2.
Key context
- Match story: Daria Kasatkina closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–3.
Head to head
1–11| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | F | grass | Madison Keys | 6-2 7-6 |
| 2023-04-03 | Charleston | QF | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-09-16 | Osaka | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2018-10-31 | Zhuhai | RR | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2018-10-29 | Zhuhai | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2017-08-14 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2016-09-26 | Wuhan | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 4-6 6-4 |
| 2016-08-08 | Olympics | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
70%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
53
89
Break points saved·Dominant
21
85
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
91
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
96
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
91
66
Kasatkina D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast