Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys: Head-to-Head Record

Daria Kasatkina

Australia

2–12
14 meetings
Madison Keys

United States

Hard: 1–11Clay: 1–0Grass: 0–1
Weighted by importance & recency
2.7–11.3
The same matches re-weighted by what was at stake and how recently — a Grand Slam final this year counts for more than an early round a decade ago.
Daria Kasatkina
2–12
Madison Keys

Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys have met 14 times on the professional tour. Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 12–2. Their most recent meeting came at Adelaide in 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

Kasatkina D. and Keys M. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kasatkina D. went 4–6 (40%) against them, Keys M. 6–5 (55%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

4–6 · 40%Kasatkina D. · better vs 1
Record vs common opponents
6–5 · 55%Keys M. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
11–13Sets14–12
109–119Games121–105
1–3Tiebreaks0–0
1–3Deciding sets2–3
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Both lost · same surface▾
Both won · different surfaces (Hard × Grass)▾
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Kasatkina D. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Keys M. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Both won · same surface, 11 days apart▾
Keys M. better · same surface, 3 days apart▾
Both won · same surface · 7 months apart▾
Both lost · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys stats comparison

Ratings

#68 WTARanking#24 WTA
1795Elo (overall)1987
1757Hard Elo1920
1770Clay Elo1894
1666Grass Elo1843

Form

LLWWLWWWLWLast 10WLWLLWWWWW
2026 win rate·Clear edge
56%
70%
12026 titles1

Clutch

Under pressure
Daria KasatkinaMadison Keys
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
89
Break points saved·Dominant
21
85
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
91
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Daria KasatkinaMadison Keys
Freshness·Even
77
76

Daria Kasatkina: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Madison Keys: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Serve vs return

Recent form
Daria Kasatkinaserving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Madison Keys

Madison Keysserving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Daria Kasatkina

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Set records · last ~30 matches

First sets won·Clear edge
47%
63%
Deciding sets won·Slight edge
71%
64%
Tiebreaks won·
50%
—

Career

Career win rate·Even
60%
64%
8Career titles12
0Grand Slam titles1

Profile

29Age31
170 cmHeight178 cm
RightPlaysRight

Set records use each player's last ~30 completed matches; form shows the last 10 results. Ratings come from the same data that powers the Umpiry Score.

All 14 meetings

Frequently asked questions

Who leads the head-to-head between Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys?

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head against Daria Kasatkina 12–2 after 14 meetings.

How many times have Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys played each other?

Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys have played each other 14 times on the professional tour.

When did Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys last play each other?

Their most recent meeting came at Adelaide in 2025, where Madison Keys won.