Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno BustaAtp Cup Final

Atp Cup · ATP · Final
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Shapovalov D.
6-4 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Shapovalov D.
662
Carreno Busta P.
430

Denis Shapovalov defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-3 in the Atp Cup final on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #48, defending last year's round-robin. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

17
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-29WimbledonR128grassPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-7 0-0
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6 2-6 6-4
2020-08-31US OpenQFhardPablo Carreno Busta3-6 7-6 7-6 0-6 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-5
2019-09-23ChengduSFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-4
2019-05-13Rome MastersR64clayDenis Shapovalov6-3 7-6
2017-08-28US OpenR16hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6 7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
79
46
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Slight edge
70
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
14
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
85

Shapovalov D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw