Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis ShapovalovChengdu Semi-final

Chengdu · ATP · Semi-final
#72ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 September 2019 ·
hard
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-4
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Shapovalov D.
340

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-3 6-4 in the Chengdu semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #48. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-29WimbledonR128grassPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-7 0-0
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6 2-6 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupFhardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-3
2020-08-31US OpenQFhardPablo Carreno Busta3-6 7-6 7-6 0-6 6-3
2019-10-21ViennaR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 7-5
2019-05-13Rome MastersR64clayDenis Shapovalov6-3 7-6
2017-08-28US OpenR16hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6 7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
79
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Slight edge
60
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
83

Carreno Busta P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw