Karolina Muchova vs Elena Rybakina — US Open Round of 128
US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2019 ·
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Muchova K.6-4 6-4
Rybakina E.
Muchova K.
662
Rybakina E.
440
Karolina Muchova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 6-4 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karolina Muchova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
Key context
- Match story: Karolina Muchova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Stuttgart | F | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-2 2-6 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 7-6 2-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
92
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Slight edge
88
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
55
Rybakina E.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast