Upset Audit

WTA Tour Bad Homburg 2026: the biggest upsets

The most surprising results of WTA Tour Bad Homburg 2026 in Tennisclub Bad Homburg, Germany, ranked by the Umpiry Surprise Score— 100 minus the winner's frozen pre-match win probability. The higher the score, the bigger the shock. Tap any result for the full match.

1

Navarro E.def.Swiatek I.

WTA Tour Bad Homburg 2026 — Round of 165-7 6-2 3-6

Pre-match WP: Navarro E. 19% · Swiatek I. 81%

81

Umpiry
Surprise Score

2

Alexandrova E.def.Andreeva M.

WTA Tour Bad Homburg 2026 — Round of 166-3 6-4

Pre-match WP: Alexandrova E. 19% · Andreeva M. 81%

81

Umpiry
Surprise Score

3

Gabriela Ruse E.def.Noskova L.

WTA Tour Bad Homburg 2026 — Round of 326-1 6-3

Pre-match WP: Gabriela Ruse E. 24% · Noskova L. 76%

76

Umpiry
Surprise Score

The Umpiry Surprise Score uses a calibrated win probability frozen at match start, never recomputed in hindsight. Only genuine shocks are listed — main-draw results where the winner was a clear underdog (Surprise Score 70+, i.e. a pre-match win probability of 30% or below). It is statistical information, not a betting recommendation.