Tristan Mccormick vs Imanol Lopez Morillo — M25 Oviedo Round of 32
M25 Oviedo · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
Mccormick T.vs
Lopez Morillo I.
Tristan Mccormick faces Imanol Lopez Morillo in the M25 Oviedo round of 32 on clay. Imanol Lopez Morillo holds the paper edge — ranked #590.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTCMccormick T.34%
Lopez Morillo I.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Lopez Morillo I. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Imanol Lopez Morillo rising, Tristan Mccormick cooling.
- Fatigue load: Tristan Mccormick carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form2.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
4 vs 9 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Lopez Morillo I.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 69%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.