George Loffhagen vs Alastair GrayRoehampton 2 Round of 32

Roehampton 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#488ATP
1452ELO
1440Hard ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#270ATP
1390ELO
1370Hard ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWWLL
Loffhagen G.
vs
Gray A.

George Loffhagen faces Alastair Gray in the Roehampton 2 round of 32 on hard. Alastair Gray holds the paper edge — ranked #270, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Loffhagen G.58%
Gray A.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Alastair Gray carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Alastair Gray leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Glasgow 1 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+69 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1370
5.8Overall Elo 1452
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1390
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Loffhagen G.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gray A.

Gray A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Loffhagen G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Gray A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 38%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-01M25 Glasgow 1SFhardAlastair Gray6-3 6-1

Draw