Marvin Moeller vs Thomas FaurelAugsburg Round of 32

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 4th on
#331ATP
1459ELO
1424Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWLLLWLLL
Moeller M.
vs
Faurel T.

Marvin Moeller faces Thomas Faurel in the Augsburg round of 32 on clay. Marvin Moeller holds the paper edge — ranked #327.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Moeller M.55%
Faurel T.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1383
Surface ELO
5.5+41 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1396
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1459
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Moeller M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Faurel T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Moeller M.

Serve advantage — Moeller M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
88

Moeller M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Faurel T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on CENTRE COURT · not before Not Before 17:00 · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Brunclik P. v Masur D.
  2. 2Cretu C. v Mcdonald N.
  3. 3Mena F. v Hans Rehberg M.
  4. 3Topo M. v Damas M.
    6-36-4
  5. 4Moeller M. v Faurel T.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw