Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza — Roehampton 2 Round of 32

Roehampton 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

NEDQ

Alec Deckers

#585ATP

26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWLWWWL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 25 August 2026 · 15:30

hard

ITA

Luca Potenza

#482ATP

1342ELO

1317Hard ELO

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWLLWWLL

Deckers A.

Potenza L.

Alec Deckers faces Luca Potenza in the Roehampton 2 round of 32 on hard. Luca Potenza holds the paper edge — ranked #482.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Deckers A.60%

Potenza L.40%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Deckers A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Alec Deckers edged Alexis Gautier in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Fatigue load: Alec Deckers carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Deckers A.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Potenza L.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.37 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

3.54 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season

Deckers A.Potenza L.

1st serve in·Slight edge

55%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

73%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

48%

Service points won·Slight edge

62%

57%

Return points won·Slight edge

31%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

62%

55%

Aces / match·Dominant

8.5

2.0

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.6

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Deckers A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Potenza L.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Deckers A.

Serve advantage — Potenza L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Deckers A.Potenza L.

Freshness·

—

Deckers A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

25°CClear

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.