Mario Mansilla Diez vs Jose Dominguez AlonsoM25 Oviedo Round of 32

M25 Oviedo · ITF · Round of 32
#1742ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
#1923ATP
26 yrs
Last 10
WWWWLWWLWL
Mansilla Diez M.
vs
Dominguez Alonso J.

Mario Mansilla Diez faces Jose Dominguez Alonso in the M25 Oviedo round of 32 on clay. Mario Mansilla Diez is the paper favourite — ranked #1742 — but Jose Dominguez Alonso arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Mario Mansilla Diez's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Mansilla Diez M.49%
Dominguez Alonso J.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Mario Mansilla Diez 2 of 6, Jose Dominguez Alonso 5 of 6 on clay recently — Jose Dominguez Alonso the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mansilla Diez M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Dominguez Alonso J.

Dominguez Alonso J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mansilla Diez M.

Serve advantage — Dominguez Alonso J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw