Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Matt KuharKingston 2 Qualifying Round of 16

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#589ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#785ATP
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLLW
Gonzalez Fernandez M.
6-2 7-5
Kuhar M.
Gonzalez Fernandez M.
672
Kuhar M.
250

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez defeated Matt Kuhar in the Kingston 2 quarterfinals qualifying round, 6-2, 7-5. Gonzalez Fernandez and Kuhar each hit one ace, with Gonzalez Fernandez committing three double faults to Kuhar's five. Gonzalez Fernandez converted 46% of break points, compared to 43% for Kuhar, and won six service breaks to Kuhar's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Gonzalez Fernandez M.65%
Kuhar M.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gonzalez Fernandez M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
72

Gonzalez Fernandez M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Kuhar M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 96%

Draw