Andrej Nedic vs Juan EstevezAugsburg Round of 16

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#250ATP
1515ELO
1506Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#339ATP
1284ELO
1277Clay ELO
20 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Nedic A.
2-6 6-4 6-3
Estevez J.
Nedic A.
2662
Estevez J.
6431

Juan Estevez defeated Andrej Nedic in the Round of 32 at the Augsburg tournament on clay, 2-6, 6-4, 6-3. Estevez converted 56% of break points, while Nedic converted 29%. The match saw Estevez hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, compared to Nedic's 3 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Juan Estevez closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 3–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Nedic A.67%
Estevez J.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nedic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+229 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1277
7.9Overall Elo 1515
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1284
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Nedic A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Estevez J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw