Ryan Nijboer vs Tomas Curras AbasoloM25 Oviedo Round of 32

M25 Oviedo · ITF · Round of 32
#508ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
clay
#902ATP
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLLW
Nijboer R.
vs
Curras Abasolo T.

Ryan Nijboer faces Tomas Curras Abasolo in the M25 Oviedo round of 32 on clay. Ryan Nijboer holds the paper edge — ranked #508. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Ryan Nijboer ahead 1–0 on clay.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nijboer R.69%
Curras Abasolo T.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nijboer R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 1–0 on clay. Last met at M25 Vale do Lobo 2 2025.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
83%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
52%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
52%
69%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
55%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
40%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nijboer R.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Curras Abasolo T.

Curras Abasolo T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Nijboer R.

Serve advantage — Nijboer R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Nijboer R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-12M25 Vale do Lobo 2R16hardTomas Curras Abasolo7-5 6-3
2024-08-13M15 Gijon 1R32clayRyan Nijboer6-4 6-1

Draw