Yidi Yang vs Chenting ZhuW15 Tianjin 3 Round of 16

W15 Tianjin 3 · ITF · Round of 16
#337WTA
1372ELO
1368Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWLWWLW
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
#702WTA
1082ELO
1064Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWWWWLW
Yang Y.
vs
Zhu C.

Yidi Yang faces Chenting Zhu in the W15 Tianjin 3 round of 16 on hard. Yidi Yang holds the paper edge — ranked #337, leading the head-to-head 4–0, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Yang Y.71%
Zhu C.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yang Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Yidi Yang dropped just 4 games past Alisa Vasileva.
  • Head-to-head: Yidi Yang leads the head-to-head 4–0. Last met at W35 Luzhou 1 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Chenting Zhu carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+304 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1064
8.6Overall Elo 1372
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1082
8.6Leads 5–0 on hard
H2H
1.4Trails 0–5 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yang Y.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Zhu C.

Zhu C.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Yang Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CThunderstorm
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-11W35 Luzhou 1R32hardYidi Yang6-2 3-6 6-4
2025-04-26W15 Wuning 3SFhardYidi Yang7-6(1) 2-6 6-0
2025-04-18W15 Wuning 2QFhardYidi Yang6-4 6-2
2025-03-17W75 Luan 1Q16hardYidi Yang6-3 6-3

Draw